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Interest Rate Policy

This Framing Note is the fourth in a policy series by the Financial Access Initiative exploring various dilemmas which policymakers face across several topics of great importance to financial inclusion. This paper describes the contours of the interest rate policy dilemma, updating previous sources with new theory about consumer behavior and new evidence from the demand side about how clients respond to interest rates; and from the supply side as to what drives the setting of rates. The focus here is not on interest rate policy in general, which would include its use in monetary policy, but rather the interest rate control regime applied especially to small or micro loans.

Type: Framing Note
Date: January 2010
Authors: Daryl Collins, David Porteous, Jeff Abrams
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Interest Rates

Le portefeuille du pauvre: Comment les pauvres vivent avec 2 $ par jour dans le monde (Chapitre 1)

Type: Framing Note
Date: January 2010
Authors: Daryl Collins, Jonathan Morduch, Stuart Rutherford, Orlanda Ruthven
Country: Bangladesh; Global; India; South Africa
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Big Picture

Los Portafolios de los Pobres: Cómo Viven los Pobres del Mundo con $2 al Día (Capítulo 1)

La conciencia pública sobre la inequidad global ha sido elevada por grupos indignados de ciudadanos, periodistas, políticos, organizaciones internacionales, yestrellas del pop. Los diarios informan regularmente sobre las tendencias de las tasas de pobreza en todo el mundo y sobre campañas globales dirigidas a reducir esas tasas a la mitad. Un ingreso diario de menos de dos dólares por persona se ha convertido en un indicador ampliamente reconocido para definir a los pobres del mundo. El Banco Mundial cuantificó 2,700 millones de personas en esta categoría en 2001 – dos quintas partes de la humanidad. Entre estos 2,700 millones de seres, los 1,100 millones más pobres a duras penas sobrevivían con menos de un dólar al día.

 

Para quienes no tenemos que hacerlo, es difícil imaginar cómo es vivir con un ingreso tan pequeño. Ni siquiera tratamos de imaginarlo. Suponemos que con ingresos en estos niveles tan imposiblemente bajos, es muy poco lo que los pobres pueden hacer por sí mismos más allá de sobrevivir de manera precaria. Sus posibilidades de salir de la pobreza deben depender, asumimos, ya sea de la caridad internacional o de su eventual incorporación a la economía globalizada. Los debates públicos más acalorados sobre la pobreza en el mundo, por lo tanto, son aquellos sobre los flujos de ayuda y la condonación de la deuda, y sobre las virtudes y los vicios de la globalización. La discusión sobre lo que los pobres pueden hacer por ellos mismos se oye con menos frecuencia. Si es difícil imaginar cómo sobreviviría uno con uno o dos dólares al día, es aun más difícil imaginar cómo se podría prosperar.

Type: Framing Note
Date: January 2010
Authors: Daryl Collins, Jonathan Morduch, Stuart Rutherford, Orlanda Ruthven
Country: Bangladesh; Global; India; South Africa
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Big Picture

Prudential Regulation in Microfinance

This Framing Note is the third in a series exploring various dilemmas which policymakers face across several topics of great importance to financial inclusion. In the field of prudential regulation, as in the other areas of financial regulation discussed in the other Framing Notes in this series, policymakers therefore face another manifestation of the regulator’s dilemma: how to safeguard the health of the financial system, while encouraging access to financial services. The latter objective may require that there be a diversity of financial institutions with different risk and cost profiles but it is not easy to supervise numerous diverse entities. The dilemma is especially acute since small savers who have access only to informal often less stable alternatives, may be at greater risk of loss.

Type: Framing Note
Date: January 2010
Authors: Daryl Collins, David Porteous, Jeff Abrams
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation

Behavioral Foundations of Microcredit: Experimental and Survey Evidence from Rural India

Describes finding from an experiment in rural India that suggest that the structure of microcredit loan contracts can help people with self-discipline problems who lack suitable savings products.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: December 2009
Authors: Michal Bauer, Julie Chytilová, Jonathan Morduch
Country: India
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Behavioral Economics

Behavioral Foundations of Microcredit: Experimental and Survey Evidence from Rural India

Describes finding from an experiment in rural India that suggest that the structure of microcredit loan contracts can help people with self-discipline problems who lack suitable savings products.

Access the full paper here.

Type: Brief
Date: December 2009
Authors: Michal Bauer, Julie Chytilová, Jonathan Morduch
Country: India
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Behavioral Economics

Competition Policy in Microcredit Markets

Microcredit markets in many regions are becoming more competitive. This is generally a good thing for borrowers.

These two commonly heard statements raise a number of questions for policy makers: How to measure the intensity of competition over time? And is competition among lenders always a good thing for borrowers? Or do credit markets, and microcredit markets in particular, have any special features which may change or modify the conventional view of competition? If so, what tools do regulators have to promote competition? The FAI Focus Note “Competition Policy in Microcredit Markets” provides some initial answers to these questions for policy makers who wish an introduction to the issue. To do this, the Focus Note combines general competition theory and policy with evidence from credit markets and microcredit in particular. Since competition involves winners and losers, the regulator’s dilemma here is identifying and making the tradeoffs necessary to find a level of competition appropriate to the stage of market development and in line with national objectives.

Type: Framing Note
Date: December 2009
Authors: David Porteous
Country: Global
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Credit

Consumer Protection in Credit Markets

The global financial crisis provides a sharp reminder of how weak lending practices not only affect the lives of many people but also can have severe systemic consequences.  However, policies designed to protect may unintentionally restrict the extension of credit, especially to poorer borrowers.  

While the financial crisis provides evidence of the need for greater consumer protection, adding costs and complexity to credit processes may slow renewed formal lending.  Confronted by these growing pressures at a macro-economic level, policy makers and regulators face a “regulator’s dilemma”: how much and how to intervene in credit markets to protect not only those borrowers who already have access to formal credit, but also to protect access to credit itself. At the heart of successfully resolving this dilemma, as in all such dilemmas, is the process of carefully identifying and evaluating the trade-offs involved.

The FAI Policy Note “Consumer Protection in Credit Markets” advocates an evidence-based approach and provides pointers to help policy makers establish a regime of consumer protection appropriate to the state of development of different credit markets and in line with broader national objectives such as financial inclusion.

 

Type: Framing Note
Date: December 2009
Authors: David Porteous
Country: Global
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Consumer Protection, Credit

Expanding Credit Access: Using Randomized Supply Decisions to Estimate the Impacts

Expanding access to commercial credit is a key ingredient of development strategies worldwide. There is less consensus on the role of consumer credit, particularly when extended at high interest rates. Popular skepticism about “unproductive” and “usurious” lending is fueled by academic work highlighting behavioral biases that induce overborrowing. We estimate the impacts of expanding access to consumer credit at 200% APR using a field experiment and follow-up survey and administrative data. The randomly assigned marginal loans produced significant net benefits for borrowers across a wide range of outcomes. There is also some evidence that the marginal loans were profitable.

Type: Paper
Date: November 2009
Authors: Dean Karlan, Jonathan Zinman
Country: South Africa
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Credit, Research Methodology

Microfinance Games

Microfinance banks use group-based lending contracts to strengthen borrowers' incentives for diligence, but the contracts are vulnerable to free-riding and collusion. We systematically unpack microfinance mechanisms through ten experimental games played in an experimental economics laboratory in urban Peru. Risk-taking broadly conforms to theoretical predictions, with dynamic incentives strongly reducing risk-taking even without group-based mechanisms. Group lending increases risk-taking, especially for risk-averse borrowers, but this is moderated when borrowers form their own groups. Group contracts benefit borrowers by creating implicit insurance against investment losses, but the costs are borne by other borrowers, especially the most risk averse. Evaluates the presence of market imperfections such as free-riding in group-based mechanisms. Access the full paper here.

Type: Brief
Date: November 2009
Authors: Xavier Giné, Pamela Jakiela, Dean Karlan, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Peru
Research Areas: Mechanisms Matter
Themes: Product Design

Microfinance Games

Evaluates the presence of market imperfections such as free-riding in group-based mechanisms.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: November 2009
Authors: Xavier Giné, Pamela Jakiela, Dean Karlan, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Peru
Research Areas: Mechanisms Matter
Themes: Product Design

Half the World is Unbanked

The first global estimate of its kind reveals that 2.5 billion adults do not use formal services to save or borrow.  Who are these ‘unbanked’ populations? Where do they live? How do they survive? And what lessons do these estimates hold for policymakers working to improve levels of financial inclusion for poor populations?

 

View and download accompanying infographic

 

This Framing Note is also available in Spanish and in French.

Type: Framing Note
Date: October 2009
Authors: Aparna Dalal, Jonathan Morduch, Alberto Chaia, Tony Goland, Maria Jose Gonzalez, Robert Schiff
Country: Global
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Big Picture, Participation, Research Methodology, Ultra Poor

La mitad del mundo no tiene servicios financieros

La primera estimación global de su clase revela que 2.5 mil millones de adultos no utilizan los servicios financieros formales para ahorrar o para pedir prestado. ¿Quién son estas poblaciones que no tienen servicios financieros? ¿Dónde viven? ¿Cómo sobreviven? ¿Y qué lecciones estas estimaciones llevan a cabo para los legisladores que trabajan para mejorar niveles de inclusión financiera para las poblaciones pobres?

Type: Framing Note
Date: October 2009
Authors: Aparna Dalal, Jonathan Morduch, Alberto Chala, Tony Goland, Maria Jose Gonzalez, and Robert Schiff
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Big Picture

La moitié de la population mondiale n'est pas bancarisée

La première estimation de son genre démontre qu'il y a 2,5 milliards adultes qui n’utilisent pas de services financiers formels pour épargner ou emprunter. Qui sont ces populations non desservisses? Où est-ce qu’elles habitent ? Comment est-ce qu’elles y survivent ? Et quelles sont les leçons de ces estimations pour les décisionnaires qui cherchent augmenter les niveaux d’inclusion financière des populations pauvres ?

 

 

Type: Framing Note
Date: October 2009
Authors: Aparna Dalal, Jonathan Morduch, Alberto Chala, Tony Goland, Maria Jose Gonzalez, Robert Schiff
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Big Picture

Banks and Microbanks

Using two new datasets, the authors examine whether the presence of banks affects the profitability and outreach of microfinance institutions. They find evidence that competition matters.  Greater bank penetration in the overall economy is associated with microbanks pushing toward poorer markets, as reflected in smaller average loans sizes and greater outreach to women. The evidence is particularly strong for microbanks relying on commercial-funding and using traditional bilateral lending contracts (rather than group lending methods favored by microfinance NGOs).  The authors consider plausible alternative explanations for the correlations, including relationships that run through the nature of the regulatory environment and the structure of the banking environment, but fail to find strong support for these alternative hypotheses.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: September 2009
Authors: Robert Cull, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Global
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Big Picture, Commercialization & Subsidy

Banks and Microbanks

Using two new datasets, the authors examine whether the presence of banks affects the profitability and outreach of microfinance institutions. They find evidence that competition matters.  Greater bank penetration in the overall economy is associated with microbanks pushing toward poorer markets, as reflected in smaller average loans sizes and greater outreach to women. The evidence is particularly strong for microbanks relying on commercial-funding and using traditional bilateral lending contracts (rather than group lending methods favored by microfinance NGOs).  The authors consider plausible alternative explanations for the correlations, including relationships that run through the nature of the regulatory environment and the structure of the banking environment, but fail to find strong support for these alternative hypotheses.

Access the full paper here.

Type: Brief
Date: September 2009
Authors: Robert Cull, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Global
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Big Picture, Commercialization & Subsidy

Microfinance Tradeoffs: Regulation, Competition, and Financing

The authors describe important trade-offs that microfinance practitioners, donors, and regulators navigate. Drawing evidence from large, global surveys of microfinance institutions, they find a basic tension between meeting social goals and maximizing financial performance.  Potential trade-offs therefore arise when selecting contracting mechanisms, level of commercialization, rigor of regulation, and the extent of competition. Meaningful interventions in microfinance will require making deliberate choices – and thus embracing and weighing tradeoffs carefully.

Type: Paper
Date: September 2009
Authors: Asli Demirgüç-Kunt
Country: Global
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Commercialization & Subsidy

Creating Better Portfolios

Drawing on financial diaries research outlined in Portfolios of the Poor: How the World’s Poor Live on $2 a Day, this brief looks at ways to envision the next generation of services for the "bottom billion” by examining what is and isn’t working for poor households as they patch together their financial lives.

Translated versions of this research brief can be accessed in Spanish and French.

Type: Brief
Date: July 2009
Authors: Financial Access Initiative
Country: Bangladesh; India; South Africa
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Consumer Protection, Credit, Product Design, Savings

Expanding Microenterprise Credit Access: Using Randomized Supply Decisions to Estimate the Impacts in Manila

Presents the results of a field experiment and follow-up survey to measure impacts of a credit expansion for microentrepreneurs in Manila.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: July 2009
Authors: Dean Karlan, Jonathan Zinman
Country: Philippines
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Big Picture, Credit

How do the Poor Deal with Risk?

This brief offers insight into the ways poor households manage risks. Based on the financial diaries research outlined in Portfolios of the Poor: How the World’s Poor Live on $2 a Day, this brief outlines the formal and informal risk management tools used by poor households in Bangladesh, India and South Africa, such as insurance and savings, and examines how these tools can be improved to help the poor mitigate risk and plan for the future.

Translated versions of this research brief can be accessed in Spanish and French.

Type: Brief
Date: July 2009
Authors: Financial Access Initiative
Country: Bangladesh; India; South Africa
Research Areas: Mechanisms Matter
Themes: Insurance, Product Design

Highlighted Publications

Borrowing to Save: Perspectives from Portfolios of the Poor

Type: Framing Note
Date: August 2010
Authors: Jonathan Morduch

Half the World is Unbanked

Type: Framing Note
Date: October 2009
Authors: Aparna Dalal, Jonathan Morduch, Alberto Chaia, Tony Goland, Maria Jose Gonzalez, Robert Schiff

Access to Finance

Type: Paper
Date: June 2009
Authors: Dean Karlan, Jonathan Morduch

Portfolios of the Poor: How the World's Poor Live on $2 a Day

Type: Book
Date: May 2009
Authors: Daryl Collins, Jonathan Morduch, Stuart Rutherford, Orlanda Ruthven

Microfinance Meets the Market

Type: Paper
Date: February 2009
Authors: Robert Cull, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Jonathan Morduch

Are Women More Credit Constrained? Experimental Evidence on Gender and Microenterprise Returns

Type: Paper
Date: January 2009
Authors: David McKenzie, Suresh de Mel, Christopher Woodruff

Does Microfinance Regulation Curtail Profitability and Outreach?

Type: Paper
Date: October 2008
Authors: Robert Cull, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Jonathan Morduch

Can the Poor Afford Microcredit?

Type: Framing Note
Date: May 2008
Authors: Jonathan Morduch

Household Savings in Developing Countries: An Annotated Reading List

Type: Framing Note
Date: April 2008
Authors: Jonathan Morduch

Teaching Entrepreneurship: Impact of Business Training on Microfinance Clients and Institutions

Type: Paper
Date: November 2006
Authors: Dean Karlan, Martin Valdivia
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