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Publications

Evaluation Fundamentals

The ultimate goal of all impact evaluations, and their greatest challenge, is to establish credibly that the intervention caused a difference in the lives of the participants. Using microinsurance as a context, this paper looks at the challenges, components and importance of impact evaluations.

Type: Paper
Date: April 2011
Authors: Jonathan Bauchet, Aparna Dalal, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Global
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Insurance, Research Methodology

Microfinance and Social Investment

This paper puts a corporate finance lens on microfinance. Microfinance aims to democratize global financial markets through new contracts, organizations, and technology. We explain the roles that government agencies and socially-minded investors play in supporting the entry and expansion of private intermediaries in the sector, and we disentangle debates about competing social and commercial firm goals. We frame the analysis with theory that explains why microfinance institutions serving lower-income communities charge high interest rates, face high costs, monitor customers relatively intensively, and have limited ability to lever assets. The analysis blurs traditional dividing lines between non-profits and for-profits and places focus on the relationship between target market, ownership rights and access to external capital. Access the full paper here. Access the brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: April 2011
Authors: Jonathan Morduch, Jonathan Conning
Country: Global
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Big Picture, Credit, Social Finance

A Penny Saved: How Do Savings Accounts Help the Poor?

Many studies have looked at the experiences of poor savers and there is plenty of anecdotal evidence that savings accounts have resulted in greater asset accumulation, better risk mitigation, and other benefits for poor households. But, to what extend does a hard look at the evidence support a claim that savings accounts actually improve welfare?

This paper reviews the experimental evidence (both RCTs and natural experiments) regarding the impact of improved access to savings. While there are precious few pieces of evidence documenting the development benefits of formal savings services for poor households, the few rigorous studies that exist show savings accounts enhance the ability to save up for productivity enhancing investments and weather unexpected bad times. They may even empower women to make financial decisions within the household.

Type: Paper
Date: November 2010
Authors: Jake Kendall
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Savings

Behavioral Foundations of Microcredit: Experimental and Survey Evidence from Rural India

Describes finding from an experiment in rural India that suggest that the structure of microcredit loan contracts can help people with self-discipline problems who lack suitable savings products.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: October 2010
Authors: Michal Bauer, Julie Chytilová, Jonathan Morduch
Country: India
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Behavioral Economics

Can insurers improve healthcare quality? Evidence from a Community Microinsurance Scheme in India

The authors of this study investigate whether having access to microinsurance improved the quality of healthcare for poor patients. They found that having access to insurance was not significantly associated with receiving better quality healthcare. The paper provides recommendations for healthcare providers to improve the quality of medical care received by their clients and suggestions for further research on the mechanisms that determine health care quality.

 

Type: Paper
Date: September 2010
Authors: Jonathan Bauchet, Aparna Dalal, Jonathan Morduch, Parimal Mayasudhakar, Ralf Radermacher
Country: Southeast Asia, India
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Insurance

Regulating New Banking Models that can Bring Financial Services to All

The authors describe the opportunities and challenges faced by banks and regulators amidst a growing recognition of the need for financial access for the estimated 2.5 billion adults in the world without access to banking services. They make a strong case for technology based solutions, especially mobile communications as a mechanism to enable mass-market financial service delivery systems, particularly in hard to reach rural areas. They propose five methods to adapt existing regulatory frameworks to address risks arising from such financial inclusion initiatives and outline a role for the State in nurturing new and innovative models to achieve universal financial inclusion.

Type: Paper
Date: August 2010
Authors: Ignacio Mas, Dan Radcliffe, Claire Alexandre
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Information and Communication Technology, Technology Adoption

Mobile Payments go Viral: M-PESA in Kenya

M‐PESA is a small‐value electronic payment and store of value system that is accessible from ordinary mobile phones. It has seen exceptional growth since its introduction by mobile phone operator   Safaricom in Kenya in March 2007: it has already been adopted by 9 million customers (corresponding to 40% of Kenya’s adult population) and processes more transactions domestically than Western Union does globally. M‐PESA’s market success can be interpreted as the interplay of three sets of factors: (i) pre‐existing country conditions that made Kenya a conducive environment for a successful  mobile money deployment; (ii) a clever service design that facilitated rapid adoption and early capturing of network effects; and (iii) a business execution strategy that helped M‐PESA rapidly reach a  critical mass of customers, thereby avoiding the adverse chicken‐and‐egg (two‐sided market) problems that afflict new payment systems.

Type: Paper
Date: March 2010
Authors: Ignacio Mas, Dan Radcliffe
Country: Kenya
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Information and Communication Technology, Technology Adoption

Expanding Credit Access: Using Randomized Supply Decisions to Estimate the Impacts

Expanding access to commercial credit is a key ingredient of development strategies worldwide. There is less consensus on the role of consumer credit, particularly when extended at high interest rates. Popular skepticism about “unproductive” and “usurious” lending is fueled by academic work highlighting behavioral biases that induce overborrowing. We estimate the impacts of expanding access to consumer credit at 200% APR using a field experiment and follow-up survey and administrative data. The randomly assigned marginal loans produced significant net benefits for borrowers across a wide range of outcomes. There is also some evidence that the marginal loans were profitable.

Type: Paper
Date: November 2009
Authors: Dean Karlan, Jonathan Zinman
Country: South Africa
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Credit, Research Methodology

Microfinance Games

Evaluates the presence of market imperfections such as free-riding in group-based mechanisms.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: November 2009
Authors: Xavier Giné, Pamela Jakiela, Dean Karlan, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Peru
Research Areas: Mechanisms Matter
Themes: Product Design

Banks and Microbanks

Using two new datasets, the authors examine whether the presence of banks affects the profitability and outreach of microfinance institutions. They find evidence that competition matters.  Greater bank penetration in the overall economy is associated with microbanks pushing toward poorer markets, as reflected in smaller average loans sizes and greater outreach to women. The evidence is particularly strong for microbanks relying on commercial-funding and using traditional bilateral lending contracts (rather than group lending methods favored by microfinance NGOs).  The authors consider plausible alternative explanations for the correlations, including relationships that run through the nature of the regulatory environment and the structure of the banking environment, but fail to find strong support for these alternative hypotheses.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: September 2009
Authors: Robert Cull, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Global
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Big Picture, Commercialization & Subsidy

Microfinance Tradeoffs: Regulation, Competition, and Financing

The authors describe important trade-offs that microfinance practitioners, donors, and regulators navigate. Drawing evidence from large, global surveys of microfinance institutions, they find a basic tension between meeting social goals and maximizing financial performance.  Potential trade-offs therefore arise when selecting contracting mechanisms, level of commercialization, rigor of regulation, and the extent of competition. Meaningful interventions in microfinance will require making deliberate choices – and thus embracing and weighing tradeoffs carefully.

Type: Paper
Date: September 2009
Authors: Asli Demirgüç-Kunt
Country: Global
Research Areas: Investment and Regulation
Themes: Commercialization & Subsidy

Expanding Microenterprise Credit Access: Using Randomized Supply Decisions to Estimate the Impacts in Manila

Presents the results of a field experiment and follow-up survey to measure impacts of a credit expansion for microentrepreneurs in Manila.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: July 2009
Authors: Dean Karlan, Jonathan Zinman
Country: Philippines
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Big Picture, Credit

Access to Finance

A review of recent innovations that are improving the quantity and quality of financial access.  Authors relate the innovations and empirical evidence to theoretical ideas, drawing links in particular to new work in behavioral economics and to randomized evaluation methods.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: June 2009
Authors: Dean Karlan, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Global
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access
Themes: Big Picture, Insurance, Research Methodology

The Impact of Microcredit on the Poor in Bangladesh: Revisiting the Evidence

Replication of seminal studies on the impact of microfinance.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: June 2009
Authors: Jonathan Morduch, David Roodman
Country: Bangladesh
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Credit

Group versus Individual Liability: Long Term Evidence from Philippine Microcredit Lending Groups

Group liability in microcredit purports to improve repayment rates through peer screening, monitoring, and enforcement. However, it may create excessive pressure, and discourage reliable clients from borrowing. Two randomized trials tested the overall effect, as well as specific mechanisms. The first removed group liability from pre-existing groups and the second randomly assigned villages to either group or individual liability loans. In both, groups still held weekly meetings. We find no increase in default and larger groups after three years in pre-existing areas, and no change in default but fewer groups created after two years in the expansion areas.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: May 2009
Authors: Xavier Giné, Dean Karlan
Country: Philippines
Research Areas: Mechanisms Matter
Themes: Credit, Product Design

The Miracle of Microfinance? Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation

This paper reports on the …first randomized evaluation of the impact of introducing microcredit in a new market in the slums of Hyderabad, India.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: May 2009
Authors: Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, Rachel Glennerster, Cynthia Kinnan
Country: India
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Big Picture

Microfinance Meets the Market

Describes the challenges of providing reliable banking services to the poorest customers in a commercially viable way.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: February 2009
Authors: Robert Cull, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Jonathan Morduch
Country: Global
Research Areas: Reimagining Financial Access, Investment and Regulation
Themes: Commercialization & Subsidy

Are Women More Credit Constrained? Experimental Evidence on Gender and Microenterprise Returns

Type: Paper
Date: January 2009
Authors: David McKenzie, Suresh de Mel, Christopher Woodruff
Country: Sri Lanka
Research Areas: Measuring Impact
Themes: Credit, Gender

Savings Constraints and Microenterprise Development: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Kenya

We conducted a field experiment to test whether savings constraints prevent the self-employed from increasing the size of their businesses. We opened interest-free savings accounts in a village bank in rural Kenya for a randomly selected sample of poor daily income earners. Despite the fact that the bank charged substantial withdrawal fees, take-up and usage was high among women and the savings accounts had substantial, positive impacts on their productive investment levels and expenditures. These results imply that a substantial fraction of daily income earners face important savings constraints and have a demand for formal saving devices (even for those that offer negative de facto interest rates).

Type: Paper
Date: January 2009
Authors: Pascaline Dupas, Jonathan Robinson
Country: Kenya
Research Areas: Mechanisms Matter
Themes: Savings

Observing Unobservables: Identifying Information Asymmetries with a Consumer Credit Field Experiment

Estimates the presence and importance of adverse selection and moral hazard in a consumer credit market using a randomized field experiment methodology.

Access the research brief here.

Type: Paper
Date: December 2008
Authors: Dean Karlan, Jonathan Zinman
Country: South Africa
Research Areas: Mechanisms Matter
Themes: Product Design

Highlighted Publications

Access to Finance

Type: Paper
Date: June 2009
Authors: Dean Karlan, Jonathan Morduch

Microfinance Meets the Market

Type: Paper
Date: February 2009
Authors: Robert Cull, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Jonathan Morduch

Are Women More Credit Constrained? Experimental Evidence on Gender and Microenterprise Returns

Type: Paper
Date: January 2009
Authors: David McKenzie, Suresh de Mel, Christopher Woodruff

Does Microfinance Regulation Curtail Profitability and Outreach?

Type: Paper
Date: October 2008
Authors: Robert Cull, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Jonathan Morduch

Teaching Entrepreneurship: Impact of Business Training on Microfinance Clients and Institutions

Type: Paper
Date: November 2006
Authors: Dean Karlan, Martin Valdivia